The current financial crisis is the worst
the world has seen since the Great Depression of the 1930s. For younger
generations, accustomed to mild recessions of the new phase of globalization,
the misery of the Great Depression is hitherto nothing more than a distant
legend. However, the collapse of two Bear Stearns Hedge funds in summer of
2007 exposed what came to be known as the subprime mortgage crisis,
reintroducing the world to an era of bank failures, a credit crunch, private
defaults and massive layoffs. In the new, globalized world of closely
interdependent economies, the crisis affected almost every part of the world,
receiving extensive coverage in the international media. “In an
Interconnected World, American Homeowner Woes Can Be Felt from Beijing to Rio
de Janeiro,” observed the International Herald Tribune at the onset of the
crisis. “Chinese Steelmakers Shiver, Indian Miners Catch Flu,” noted the
Hindustan Times. “US and China Must Tame Imbalances Together,” suggested
YaleGlobal, as the frenzied search for a solution continues around the globe.
In this special report, YaleGlobal
offers essential information on why the crisis started, how it affected the
industries and consumers around the world, and what solutions have been
proposed by experts and regulators across countries.
Many causes for the financial crisis have been
suggested, with varying weight assigned by experts. The U.S. Senate's The U.S. Senate's
Levin–Coburn
Report asserted that the crisis was the
result of "high risk, complex financial products; undisclosed conflicts of
interest; the failure of regulators, the credit rating agencies, and the market
itself to rein in the excesses of Wall Street". The 1999 repeal of
the Glass-Steagall Act effectively removed the
separation between investment banks and depository banks in
the United States. Critics argued that credit rating agencies and investors
failed to accurately price the risk involved
withmortgage-related
financial products, and that governments did not adjust their regulatory
practices to address 21st-century financial markets. Research into the causes of the financial
crisis has also focused on the role of interest rate spreads.
Background
The
immediate cause or trigger of the crisis was the bursting of the United States
housing bubble which peaked in approximately 2005–2006. Already-rising default
rates on "subprime" and adjustable-rate mortgages (ARM) began to
increase quickly thereafter. As banks began to give out more loans to potential
home owners, housing prices began to rise.
Easy
availability of credit in the U.S., fueled by large inflows of foreign funds
after the Russian debt crisis and Asian financial crisis of the 1997–1998
period, led to a housing construction boom and facilitated debt-financed
consumer spending. Lax lending standards and rising real estate prices also
contributed to the Real estate bubble. Loans of various were easy to obtain and
consumers assumed an unprecedented debt load.
During a period of
intense competition between mortgage lenders for revenue and market share, and
when the supply of creditworthy borrowers was limited, mortgage lenders relaxed
underwriting standards and originated riskier mortgages to less creditworthy
borrowers. In the view of some analysts, the relatively conservative Government
Sponsored Enterprises (GSEs) policed mortgage originators and maintained
relatively high underwriting standards prior to 2003. However, as market power
shifted from securitizers to originators and as intense competition from
private securitizers undermined GSE power, mortgage standards declined and
risky loans proliferated. The worst loans were originated in 2004–2007, the
years of the most intense competition between securitizers and the lowest
market share for the GSEs.
The
U.S. recession that began in December 2007 ended in June 2009, according to the
U.S. National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and the financial crisis
appears to have ended about the same time. In April 2009 TIME Magazine declared
"More Quickly Than It Began, The Banking Crisis Is Over. The United States
Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission dates the crisis to 2008. President Barack
Obama declared on January 27, 2010, "the markets are now stabilized, and
we've recovered most of the money we spent on the banks.
The
New York Times identifies March 2009 as the "nadir of the crisis" and
notes that "Most stock markets around the world are at least 75 percent
higher than they were then. Financial stocks, which led the markets down, have
also led them up." Nevertheless, the lack of fundamental changes in
banking and financial markets, worries many market participants, including the
International Monetary Fund.
Media
coverage
The
financial crises generated many articles and books outside of the
scholarly and financial press, including articles and books by author
William Greider, economist Michael Hudson, author and former bond salesman
Michael Lewis, Kevin Phillips, and investment broker Peter Schiff.
In
May 2010 premiered Overdose: A Film about the Next Financial Crisis, a
documentary about how the financial crisis came about and how the solutions
that have been applied by many governments are setting the stage for the next
crisis. The film is based on the book Financial Fiasco by Johan Norberg and
features Alan Greenspan, with funding from the libertarian think tank The Cato
Institute. Greenspan is responsible for de-regulating the derivatives market
while chairman of the Federal Reserve.
In
October 2010, a documentary film about the crisis, Inside Job directed by
Charles Ferguson, was released by Sony Pictures Classics. It was awarded an
Academy Award for Best Documentary of 2010.
Time
Magazine named "25 People to Blame for the Financial Crisis”.
Emerging
and developing economies drive global economic growth
The
financial crisis has caused the "emerging" and "developing"
economies to replace "advanced" economies to lead global economic
growth. Previously "advanced" economies accounted for only 29%
of incremental global nominal GDP while emerging and developing economies
accounted for 71% of incremental global nominal GDP from 2007 to 2013 according
to International Monetary Fund. In this graph, the names of emergent economies
are shown in boldface type, while the names of developed economies are in.
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